After the tariff order signed by President Donald Trump on April 2, the traders of the Kalashi prophecy market placed 61 percent of the US recession difficulties in 2025.
Kalashi uses the standard of market market, the growth of two business circles of negative domestic products (GDP), as the United States Department of Commerce has stated.
The difficulties of US recession on the prediction platform have been almost doubled since March 20, and the current 2025 US recession on the polymerket is a mirror of the difficulties of recession, which currently holds 60 % of the traders on the platform.
After US President Donald Trump’s widespread tariff order and sale in the capital markets, the economic theory for 2025 worsened rapidly, giving rise to the fear of a long bear market.
In 2025, the difficulties of US recession in the Kalashi forecast market 60 % topped. Source: Vialist
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Trump’s Executive Order throwing markets by defamation
The US President’s Executive Order set up a 10 % baseline tariff rate for all countries and various “mutual” tariff rates on existing trade partners on US import goods.
Trump’s announcement immediately mobilized the stock market sales, which in a few days wiped out the cost of shareholders more than $ 5 trillion.
The fears of recession are increasing as market analysts have potentially warned about the long trade war, which negatively affects global markets and suppresses the prices of danger assets, including crypto currency.
Meanwhile, President Trump has expressed confidence that prices will strengthen the US economy long -term and correct any trade imbalance.
“The markets are on the rise,” the President said on April 3, describing the current market sales as an expected part of the process.
Stock market sales continue when the stock poured trillions of shareholders. Source: Trading View
Asset manager Anthony Pompeliono recently speculated that President Trump had deliberately destroyed markets to reduce interest rates.
Pompeliano presented a decrease in 10 -year -old American treasury bonds as a proof that the strategy to force the president to affect the president’s rate is working.
The interest rate on the 10 -year -old American Treasury bonds has dropped by about 4.4.66 % in January 2025 to only 4.00 % on April 5. President Trump is also pressuring Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to reduce short -term interest rates.
“This will be a great time for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to reduce interest rates for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell,” Trump wrote on April 4. “
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